Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:05:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x58d2…46e6
sports · 312 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$6,254 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,674 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6,674
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses100 / 212
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Est. fees paid−$270
Open positions0
Markets (closed)312 / 312
History coverage597d
Avg bet$179
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 312 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$590
7 days−$401
14 days−$901
30 days−$710
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Los Angeles Dodgers 16¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
KBO: LG Twins vs. Lotte Giants LG Twins 22¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres Athletics 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twins Kia Tigers 18¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 20¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Chicago Cubs 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins LG Twins 26¢ 0¢ $173 $0 −$173 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Chicago Cubs 7¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Dodgers vs. Padres Dodgers 33¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 37¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves Chicago Cubs 10¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card) Della Maddalena 20¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Mets vs. Giants Giants 37¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Kiwoom Heroes 34¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners Arizona Diamondbacks 11¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. SSG Landers Kiwoom Heroes 19¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Athletics 40¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Phillies vs. Padres Padres 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) Jun 14 $144 −$142 -99%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) Jun 14 $108 −$52 -48%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $100 −$66 -66%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $77 −$42 -54%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $103 −$3 -3%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $129 −$53 -41%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $60 −$43 -71%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Jun 13 $75 +$23 +31%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 13 $26 −$14 -54%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) Jun 13 $35 −$17 -49%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $138 −$3 -2%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $29 −$17 -59%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5) Jun 13 $70 +$128 +184%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $51 −$40 -77%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $7 +$1 +9%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $101 −$29 -29%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 12 $28 −$19 -67%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions Jun 12 $103 −$21 -20%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Jun 12 $186 −$182 -98%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $111 −$53 -48%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $76 −$60 -80%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) Jun 12 $52 +$148 +284%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants Jun 11 $45 +$155 +344%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 06 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 06 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 06 $37 −$18 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 06 $26 −$1 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$3 -56%
KBO: LG Twins vs. NC Dinos Jun 06 $76 −$60 -80%
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landers Jun 06 $48 +$59 +122%
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Doosan Bears Jun 06 $226 −$149 -66%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 06 $205 −$47 -23%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 06 $124 −$106 -85%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 06 $251 −$135 -54%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-5.5) Jun 06 $2 −$1 -91%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5) Jun 06 $132 −$125 -95%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 06 $56 −$41 -72%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 06 $85 −$73 -86%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 06 $41 −$19 -47%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $94 −$55 -58%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 05 $50 −$12 -23%
KBO: LG Twins vs. NC Dinos Jun 05 $49 +$101 +203%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 05 $51 +$185 +361%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 05 $69 −$52 -76%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 05 $62 −$30 -50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$7,020
other 2% +$492
crypto 0% −$13
politics 0% −$133
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) BUY San Francisco Giants 18¢ $9 1h
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) BUY San Francisco Giants 18¢ $63 1h
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) BUY San Francisco Giants 26¢ $13 1h
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) BUY San Francisco Giants 22¢ $11 1h
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) BUY San Francisco Giants 23¢ $47 1h
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) SELL San Francisco Giants 11¢ $57 1h
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) BUY San Francisco Giants 16¢ $8 2h
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) BUY San Francisco Giants 16¢ $1 2h
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) BUY San Francisco Giants 16¢ $15 2h
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) BUY San Francisco Giants 21¢ $49 2h
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) BUY San Francisco Giants 21¢ $25 2h
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) BUY San Francisco Giants 21¢ $11 2h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Tampa Bay Rays 7¢ $33 2h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 12¢ $25 2h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 12¢ $5 2h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $15 2h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 27¢ $55 2h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL San Francisco Giants 9¢ $35 2h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 17¢ $35 2h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 21¢ $21 3h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 20¢ $20 3h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Milwaukee Brewers 13¢ $28 3h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Milwaukee Brewers 15¢ $0 3h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Milwaukee Brewers 15¢ $4 3h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Milwaukee Brewers 15¢ $13 3h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Milwaukee Brewers 15¢ $5 3h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Milwaukee Brewers 15¢ $9 3h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Milwaukee Brewers 15¢ $1 3h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Milwaukee Brewers 15¢ $12 3h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Milwaukee Brewers 15¢ $4 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -5.1% -14.1% 22% 17% -28.8%
≤30d 133 -6.9% -15.7% 30% 29% -15.4%
≤90d 141 -6.1% -15.1% 30% 29% -16.0%
all 312 -0.2% -9.7% 32% 30% -20.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 30% -20.2%
10% -18.3% 28% -27.8%
15% -26.2% 25% -34.8%
20% -33.5% 24% -41.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1518 history records