trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +1.4% | -8.2% | 100% | 0% | -8.2% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 43% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 43% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 18 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 61% | 0% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.1% | 0% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -17.8% | 0% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -25.7% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 86¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 17 | $39 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 27 | $2 | $0 | -5% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 26 | $43 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 26 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 24 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 24 | $10 | $0 | -4% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 23 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May? | Jun 01 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May? | Jun 01 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 07 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 06 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nottingham Forest finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season? | Apr 05 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Karoline Leavitt be out as White House Press Secretary in Trump's | Apr 04 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government? | Apr 03 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Mar 28? | Mar 29 | $13 | $0 | +3% |