Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:58:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x58c8…e4ed
crypto · 205 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$8 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$44 · open −$34
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$620
Realized+$44
Unrealized−$34
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses70 / 98
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions37
Markets (closed)168 / 205
History coverage5d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day481.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 37 History 168 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$38
7 days+$44
14 days+$44
30 days+$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? No 40¢ 97¢ $107 $259 +$152 (+143%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 40¢ 40¢ $57 $56 −$1 (-1%)
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Barbora Krejcikova 84¢ 62¢ $31 $23 −$8 (-27%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Alexander Shevchenko 63¢ 68¢ $18 $19 +$1 (+8%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Vitaliy Sachko 39¢ 32¢ $22 $18 −$4 (-18%)
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? Yes 8¢ 6¢ $20 $15 −$5 (-24%)
ITF Ceska Lipa: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Eva Vedder Eva Vedder 69¢ 74¢ $14 $15 +$1 (+8%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? No 90¢ 100¢ $13 $15 +$1 (+10%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 24¢ 38¢ $8 $13 +$5 (+60%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? Yes 12¢ 8¢ $18 $13 −$5 (-30%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 58¢ 58¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? No 48¢ 76¢ $8 $12 +$4 (+60%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? No 80¢ 92¢ $11 $12 +$1 (+14%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No 41¢ 46¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+10%)
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? No 93¢ 99¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+7%)
ITF Ceska Lipa: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Eva Vedder Elena Ruxandra Bertea 31¢ 26¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-16%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score No 53¢ 54¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No 95¢ 96¢ $7 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? Yes 16¢ 11¢ $9 $7 −$3 (-28%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Yes 33¢ 24¢ $9 $7 −$2 (-27%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 88¢ 96¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+9%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? No 74¢ 99¢ $5 $6 +$2 (+35%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 28¢ 30¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+10%)
ITF Guimaraes: Katarina Kuzmova vs Savannah Broadus Katarina Kuzmova 5¢ 12¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+111%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova Jun 13 $102 +$78 +77%
ITF Hurghada: Martyna Kubka vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson Jun 13 $59 +$5 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +2%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito Jun 13 $76 −$4 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -37%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$1 -26%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $3 −$2 -58%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $30 +$25 +86%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $5 +$3 +54%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $14 +$8 +57%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $8 −$2 -21%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $42 −$20 -49%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $6 +$6 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $11 +$2 +16%
Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 −$1 -21%
Will CD La Serena win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$6 +269%
CD La Serena leading at halftime? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $6 −$4 -59%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $22 −$6 -28%
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 47% +$136
crypto 47% −$165
other 5% +$44
tech 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 86¢ $1 0m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 86¢ $1 1m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 88¢ $1 2m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 86¢ $1 3m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 86¢ $1 4m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 89¢ $1 5m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 88¢ $1 6m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 88¢ $1 7m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 40¢ $1 7m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 88¢ $1 7m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 88¢ $1 7m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 88¢ $1 8m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 36¢ $1 8m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 88¢ $1 8m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 88¢ $1 8m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 40¢ $1 8m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 88¢ $1 9m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Alexander Shevchenko 60¢ $1 9m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 88¢ $1 9m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 40¢ $1 9m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 40¢ $1 10m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 16¢ $1 11m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 84¢ $1 11m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 84¢ $1 11m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 84¢ $1 11m
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 84¢ $1 11m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 40¢ $1 11m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 48¢ $1 12m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 48¢ $1 12m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 40¢ $1 13m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-28.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 168 -20.5% -28.1% 42% 27% -7.7%
≤30d 168 -20.5% -28.1% 42% 27% -7.7%
≤90d 168 -20.5% -28.1% 42% 27% -7.7%
all 168 -20.5% -28.1% 42% 27% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover481.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.1% 27% -7.7%
10% ← realistic here -35.0% 23% -16.5%
15% -41.3% 18% -24.6%
20% -47.0% 15% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $620.18 · official $620.19 (match) · 2725 history records