Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:22:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x58c2…86c8
crypto · 1162 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$598 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$598 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$598
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses886 / 276
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1162 / 1162
History coverage238d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day8.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 1162 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$182
7 days−$102
14 days−$57
30 days−$87
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$41 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $258 −$211 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $91 +$19 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $281 +$8 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $258 +$16 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $230 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $255 +$11 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $321 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $322 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $301 +$18 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $272 +$27 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $106 −$37 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $300 +$10 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$7 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $310 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $118 +$47 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $221 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$16 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $260 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $139 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 10 $259 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 10 $260 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$471
other 3% −$45
politics 1% −$103
sports 1% −$36
weather 0% +$50
tech 0% +$3
culture 0% +$5
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $151 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $250 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $151 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $61 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $30 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $200 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $15 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -9.0% -17.7% 78% 26% -10.5%
≤30d 297 -6.7% -15.6% 78% 28% -9.9%
≤90d 550 -11.8% -20.2% 76% 25% -12.6%
all 1162 -2.8% -12.0% 76% 35% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.0% 35% -10.4%
10% -20.5% 21% -19.0%
15% -28.1% 11% -26.8%
20% -35.2% 6% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2996 history records