trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | -36.3% | -42.3% | 14% | 7% | -33.3% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -33.2% | -39.5% | 28% | 20% | -16.8% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -33.2% | -39.5% | 28% | 20% | -16.8% |
| all | 25 | -33.2% | -39.5% | 28% | 20% | -16.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -39.5% | 20% | -16.8% |
| 10% | -45.3% | 20% | -24.8% |
| 15% | -50.6% | 20% | -32.1% |
| 20% | -55.4% | 16% | -38.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 83¢ | 87¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 92¢ | 93¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 89¢ | 90¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84¢ | 82¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Club Blooming win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 88¢ | 49¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-44%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: France (-2.5) | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | -10% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $7 | $0 | -5% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +114% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -78% |
| Alistair Johnston: 1+ assists | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -84% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -17% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Spread: Czechia (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -12% |
| Alexis Vega: 2+ goals | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Alexis Vega: 1+ goals | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| South Africa leading at halftime? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -14% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? | Jun 10 | $1 | +$1 | +50% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? | Jun 10 | $4 | −$1 | -34% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $17 | +$8 | +48% |
| Will Norway vs. Austria end in a draw? | Jun 09 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? | Jun 09 | $3 | −$2 | -66% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | Jun 09 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Jun 09 | $2 | +$1 | +35% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | Jun 09 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | Jun 09 | $1 | +$1 | +137% |