trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 | Under | 51¢ | 61¢ | $7 | $8 | +$1 (+20%) |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm | Golden State Valkyries | 83¢ | 93¢ | $7 | $8 | +$1 (+12%) |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Hurricanes | 51¢ | 52¢ | $7 | $7 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Spurs | 48¢ | 48¢ | $7 | $7 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 | Jun 13 | $7 | +$7 | +95% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 | Jun 13 | $7 | +$9 | +129% |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics | Jun 13 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 | Jun 13 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $14 | +$10 | +69% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-05-31? | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on June 8? | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| China PR vs. Thailand: Both Teams to Score | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Poland win on 2026-06-03? | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 10 | $10 | +$28 | +276% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $5 | +$6 | +109% |
| Will Apple announce a HomePod mini successor during the WWDC 2026 keyn | Jun 09 | $5 | +$4 | +76% |
| Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election? | Jun 08 | $5 | +$6 | +113% |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8? | Jun 08 | $5 | +$3 | +54% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? | Jun 07 | $5 | +$3 | +50% |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire | Jun 06 | $5 | +$6 | +114% |
| Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks | Jun 06 | $5 | +$3 | +67% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 5? | Jun 05 | $5 | +$3 | +61% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4? | Jun 04 | $5 | +$4 | +78% |
| Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap? | Jun 01 | $5 | +$4 | +70% |
| Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League? | May 31 | $5 | +$4 | +87% |
| Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-30? | May 31 | $5 | +$5 | +90% |
| Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 31 | $5 | +$6 | +124% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $10 | +$13 | +129% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | +2.3% | -7.4% | 50% | 50% | +7.3% |
| ≤30d | 29 | +23.8% | +12.0% | 62% | 62% | +23.7% |
| ≤90d | 29 | +23.8% | +12.0% | 62% | 62% | +23.7% |
| all | 29 | +23.8% | +12.0% | 62% | 62% | +23.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +12.0% | 62% | +23.7% |
| 10% | +1.3% | 62% | +11.9% |
| 15% | -8.5% | 62% | +1.0% |
| 20% | -17.5% | 62% | -8.9% |