Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:43:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
58 0x5880…2a3a crypto 661 markets active 7d ago coverage 11d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (180 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$164 (-2%) realized −$164 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate45%296W / 365L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day179.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$16
14 days−$49
30 days−$253
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$253
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (180 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -18.5% -26.3% 48% 40% -14.4%
≤30d 661 -9.7% -18.3% 45% 41% -12.8%
≤90d 661 -9.7% -18.3% 45% 41% -12.8%
all 661 -9.7% -18.3% 45% 41% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover179.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.3% 41% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -26.1% 38% -21.2%
15% -33.3% 36% -28.8%
20% -39.8% 29% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -14% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$7 · ×1.11 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$164
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses296 / 365
Open positions0
Markets (closed)661 / 661
History coverage11d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day179.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 661 Trades
no open positions (301 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $30 −$5 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$6 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $20 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $17 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $14 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $47 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $24 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $37 −$12 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2355 history records