Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:44:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x585f…7e92
crypto · 624 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,015 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,015 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,015
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses288 / 336
Open positions0
Markets (closed)624 / 624
History coverage49d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day15.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 624 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$471
7 days−$224
14 days−$362
30 days−$933
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$21 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $57 +$53 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$42 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $44 +$37 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $44 +$38 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$42 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$42 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $45 −$43 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $45 −$44 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$58 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$20 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $45 −$44 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$45 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$21 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$21 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$52 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$44 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$44 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $61 −$59 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $47 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $47 +$41 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$23 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $47 +$42 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$45 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$21 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$23 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$21 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$41 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$61 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$47 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$21 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$23 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$23 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$21 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$23 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$41 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$40 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$40 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$57 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$45 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$23 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$47 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$22 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$23 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,015
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $22 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $44 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $57 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $43 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $22 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $17 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $23 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $45 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $23 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $46 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $60 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $61 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $23 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $47 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $47 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 276 -0.9% -10.4% 50% 50% -12.2%
≤30d 445 -6.2% -15.1% 48% 48% -15.0%
≤90d 624 -9.3% -17.9% 46% 46% -15.3%
all 624 -9.3% -17.9% 46% 46% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.9% 46% -15.3%
10% -25.8% 46% -23.4%
15% -33.0% 46% -30.8%
20% -39.5% 46% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1148 history records