Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T02:03:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
58 0x5841…898e crypto 74 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (75 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$13 (-7%) realized −$13 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate85%63W / 11L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day74.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (75 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 -6.7% -15.6% 85% 30% -15.3%
≤30d 74 -6.7% -15.6% 85% 30% -15.3%
≤90d 74 -6.7% -15.6% 85% 30% -15.3%
all 74 -6.7% -15.6% 85% 30% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover74.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 30% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 5% -23.4%
15% -31.1% 3% -30.8%
20% -37.8% 0% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
63% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.52 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses63 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)74 / 74
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day74.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 74 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 162 history records