Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:31:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x5838…2100
other · 125 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$62 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$60 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$50
Realized−$60
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses27 / 79
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions19
Markets (closed)106 / 125
Avg bet$3
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit48%
Chart Positions 19 History 106 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$4
14 days−$14
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs Geek Fam ID 23¢ 19¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-18%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Yes 7¢ 7¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Vamos vs RRQ Tora (BO5) - MPL Malaysia Playoffs RRQ Tora 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Spirit vs Aura Farmers (BO3) - MLBB Continental Championships Regular Season Aura Farmers 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs RRQ Hoshi (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season RRQ Hoshi 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL In Jun 11 $5 +$7 +134%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 10 $9 $0 +1%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - M Jun 10 $5 +$8 +152%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Selangor Red Giants vs Team Vamos (BO7) - MP Jun 07 $6 −$6 -98%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Invictus Gaming vs Selangor Red Giants (BO5) Jun 05 $5 −$1 -17%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Selangor Red Giants vs Bigetron MY by VIT (B Jun 04 $3 −$3 -98%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid PH vs Team Falcons PH (BO7) - MP May 31 $6 −$1 -15%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Vamos vs RRQ Tora (BO5) - MPL Malaysia May 31 $6 −$6 -98%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 26 $8 −$8 -98%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1 +$7 +712%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Natus Vincere vs Geek Fam ID (BO3) - MPL Ind May 24 $4 $0 -9%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $2 $0 +14%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $3 +$2 +63%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Selangor Red Giants vs Team Rey (BO3) - MPL May 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Ind May 23 $4 $0 +8%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Team Liquid ID (BO3) - MPL In May 23 $4 −$4 -100%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: RRQ Hoshi vs Dewa United Esports (BO3) - MPL May 22 $4 −$1 -28%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs RRQ Hoshi (BO3) - MPL Indonesia May 22 $4 −$1 -24%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs EVOS (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular S May 22 $6 −$2 -28%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs Dewa United Esports May 22 $4 +$5 +112%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19? May 18 $4 −$4 -98%
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19? May 18 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18? May 18 $4 −$4 -97%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO3) - MP May 17 $5 +$8 +150%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC PH vs Team Liquid PH (BO3) - MPL Philip May 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: RRQ Hoshi vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - MPL Indon May 17 $8 −$4 -45%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Spirit vs Aura Farmers (BO3) - MLBB Con May 17 $2 −$2 -97%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs EVOS (BO3) - MPL Indo May 17 $5 +$5 +105%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron MY by VIT vs AC Esports (BO3) - MPL May 15 $3 +$4 +139%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 15 $5 +$2 +42%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Flash vs Selangor Red Giants (BO3) - MP May 15 $2 −$2 -89%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Flash vs RRQ Tora (BO3) - MPL Malaysia May 15 $2 −$1 -29%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs RRQ Hoshi (BO3) - MPL Indo May 15 $4 −$4 -98%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indo May 15 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-26? Apr 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-26? Apr 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-04-24? Apr 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: EVOS vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular S Apr 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-04-22? Apr 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-20? Apr 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-19? Apr 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs RRQ Hoshi (BO3) - MP Apr 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid PH vs ONIC PH (BO3) - MPL Philip Apr 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 19 $2 +$5 +238%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Alter Ego (BO3) - MPL Indones Apr 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21? Apr 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 55% −$17
other 44% −$46
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) BUY Team Liquid ID 34¢ $5 3h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl BUY Geek Fam ID 21¢ $4 4h
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 4h
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $4 4h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $3 4h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl BUY Geek Fam ID 25¢ $6 7h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 16h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 16h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 16h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 16h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 16h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 17h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 17h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $3 17h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $3 17h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $3 17h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $3 17h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 17h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 17h
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 17h
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 17h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 20h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 20h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 20h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL In BUY Geek Fam ID 42¢ $5 29h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind BUY Bigetron by Vitality 28¢ $6 30h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS (BO5) - MPL Ind SELL EVOS 51¢ $9 2d
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - M SELL Geek Fam ID 100¢ $13 2d
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Selangor Red Giants vs Team Vamos (BO7) - MP BUY Team Vamos 18¢ $6 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-27.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -16.3% -24.2% 38% 25% -18.4%
≤30d 37 -8.3% -17.0% 32% 27% -26.1%
≤90d 103 -22.7% -30.1% 23% 21% -28.3%
all 106 -19.3% -27.0% 25% 23% -25.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.0% 23% -25.9%
10% -33.9% 21% -33.0%
15% -40.3% 21% -39.5%
20% -46.2% 20% -45.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.50 · official $49.50 (match) · 234 history records