Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:57:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x5833…dcd3
crypto · 807 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$193 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$336 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$336
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses435 / 369
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)804 / 807
History coverage51d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day50.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 804 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$58
7 days−$46
14 days−$40
30 days−$214
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 6¢ 8¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+25%)
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-15%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$6 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$4 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$292
weather 6% −$11
politics 1% −$2
world 0% −$10
tech 0% −$10
culture 0% −$5
other 0% −$5
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $7 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $6 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 94 -15.9% -24.0% 49% 36% -21.0%
≤30d 558 -5.0% -14.1% 60% 41% -16.5%
≤90d 804 -9.0% -17.7% 54% 38% -16.7%
all 804 -9.0% -17.7% 54% 38% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 38% -16.7%
10% ← realistic here -25.5% 25% -24.7%
15% -32.7% 17% -32.0%
20% -39.3% 10% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.19 · official $15.19 (match) · 2887 history records