Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T06:53:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
58 0x5831…f82b world 3 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$37 (-1%) realized −$37 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,770per market
Trades / day32.0pace
Kalshi-fit67%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
world 98% −$103
finance 2% −$7
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -4.7% -13.8% 0% 0% -11.4%
≤30d 3 -4.7% -13.8% 0% 0% -11.4%
≤90d 3 -4.7% -13.8% 0% 0% -11.4%
all 3 -4.7% -13.8% 0% 0% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover32.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 0% -11.4%
10% -22.1% 0% -19.9%
15% ← realistic here -29.6% 0% -27.6%
20% -36.5% 0% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
5.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$37 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,770
Trades / day32.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 3 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 26 $5,190 −$103 -2%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Jun 26 $101 −$7 -7%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? Jun 25 $20 −$1 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 49¢ $421 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL No 50¢ $422 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 51¢ $430 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 50¢ $430 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL No 50¢ $431 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 49¢ $431 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 51¢ $440 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 50¢ $440 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL No 50¢ $490 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 49¢ $490 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 51¢ $500 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 50¢ $500 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL No 50¢ $490 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 49¢ $490 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 51¢ $500 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 50¢ $500 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 49¢ $514 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL No 50¢ $515 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 51¢ $525 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 50¢ $525 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 49¢ $196 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL No 50¢ $196 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 51¢ $200 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 50¢ $200 2h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? SELL No 49¢ $47 2h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? SELL Yes 49¢ $47 2h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? BUY No 50¢ $50 2h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? BUY Yes 51¢ $51 2h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? SELL Yes 51¢ $10 13h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? SELL No 49¢ $10 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 32 history records