Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:36:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x5831…3c12
crypto · 270 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$237 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$237 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$237
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses224 / 146
Open positions0
Markets (closed)370 / 270
History coverage20d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day161.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 370 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$344
7 days−$288
14 days−$485
30 days−$237
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? No 92¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 30? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 30 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$98
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-36.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 218 -48.1% -53.0% 42% 12% -18.1%
≤30d 370 -29.7% -36.4% 61% 13% -11.6%
≤90d 370 -29.7% -36.4% 61% 13% -11.6%
all 370 -29.7% -36.4% 61% 13% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover161.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.4% 13% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -42.5% 5% -20.1%
15% -48.0% 3% -27.8%
20% -53.1% 1% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records