trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +15.4% | +4.4% | 62% | 62% | +63.0% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -4.9% | -14.0% | 53% | 53% | -5.9% |
| ≤90d | 29 | -7.8% | -16.6% | 55% | 52% | -13.9% |
| all | 29 | -7.8% | -16.6% | 55% | 52% | -13.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.6% | 52% | -13.9% |
| 10% | -24.6% | 52% | -22.2% |
| 15% | -31.8% | 45% | -29.7% |
| 20% | -38.5% | 28% | -36.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Over | 54¢ | 55¢ | $92 | $93 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 77¢ | 76¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Over | 46¢ | 46¢ | $23 | $23 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $56 | +$18 | +32% |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $5 | −$1 | -24% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $70 | +$30 | +44% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $102 | +$31 | +30% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $132 | +$85 | +64% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $19 | −$2 | -10% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $160 | +$169 | +105% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Jun 14 | $41 | −$40 | -99% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $60 | −$59 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $97 | +$103 | +105% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $59 | +$41 | +70% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $10,621 | +$8,779 | +83% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 07 | $5,017 | −$4,950 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 05 | $2,977 | −$2,948 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 03 | $970 | −$960 | -99% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 02 | $27 | −$26 | -96% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $637 | +$363 | +57% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 26 | $433 | +$217 | +50% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 13 | $314 | −$310 | -99% |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights | May 07 | $300 | +$9 | +3% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 07 | $813 | +$307 | +38% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 06 | $38 | +$26 | +67% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 29 | $1,253 | −$1,224 | -98% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 28 | $1,669 | −$1,660 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 27 | $1,894 | +$946 | +50% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 27 | $1,410 | −$1,392 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 26 | $635 | +$465 | +73% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 26 | $1,336 | +$479 | +36% |