trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 33% | 0% | -7.2% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 29% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 29% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 26 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 15% | 4% | -10.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.1% | 4% | -10.4% |
| 10% | -18.7% | 4% | -19.0% |
| 15% | -26.6% | 0% | -26.8% |
| 20% | -33.8% | 0% | -34.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Yes | 33¢ | 33¢ | $53 | $53 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $78 | +$3 | +4% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 23 | $5 | $0 | -9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 26 | $16 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 26 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 26 | $80 | −$2 | -2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 25 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03? | Jan 31 | $48 | −$16 | -33% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $2 | $0 | -10% |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03? | Nov 26 | $68 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30? | Nov 25 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Nov 25 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29? | Nov 25 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Buccaneers vs. Rams | Nov 25 | $24 | +$9 | +35% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele | Nov 20 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 11 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | Oct 11 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Oct 11 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Oct 11 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October? | Oct 10 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 10 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Oct 10 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025? | Oct 10 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31? | Oct 09 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Oct 09 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Oct 08 | $24 | $0 | +0% |