Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:46:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x580d…cfb5
crypto · 1340 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$17 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$20
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses826 / 512
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1338 / 1340
History coverage3d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day957.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1338 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$20
14 days+$20
30 days+$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -55%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -20%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -17%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -37%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -34%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -42%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $1 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $1 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $1 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 16m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1338 -0.8% -10.3% 62% 53% -9.0%
≤30d 1338 -0.8% -10.3% 62% 53% -9.0%
≤90d 1338 -0.8% -10.3% 62% 53% -9.0%
all 1338 -0.8% -10.3% 62% 53% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover957.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 53% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 16% -17.7%
15% -26.7% 6% -25.7%
20% -33.9% 3% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.05 · official $6.43 (match) · 3500 history records