trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 33% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 33% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 33% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 40 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 58% | 32% | +11.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.4% | 32% | +11.9% |
| 10% | -23.5% | 30% | +1.2% |
| 15% | -30.9% | 28% | -8.6% |
| 20% | -37.7% | 25% | -17.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 23? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $999 | $995 | −$4 (-0%) |
| Will Solana reach $75 on June 23? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $150 | $148 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 23? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $63 | $63 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Jun 23 | $284 | −$18 | -6% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24? | Jun 23 | $388 | $0 | -0% |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Acend (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A | Jun 23 | $383 | +$20 | +5% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on February 5? | Feb 05 | $599 | +$1 | +0% |
| Western Carolina Catamounts vs. UNCG Spartans | Feb 05 | $470 | +$530 | +113% |
| 76ers vs. Thunder | Dec 30 | $6 | +$1 | +14% |
| Golden Knights vs. Oilers | Dec 22 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bruins vs. Wild | Dec 16 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Red Wings vs. Flames | Dec 14 | $5 | +$5 | +96% |
| Canadiens vs. Utah | Dec 10 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Cavaliers | Nov 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will XRP reach $4.0 in June? | Jul 05 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Angels vs. Yankees | Jun 28 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Rockies vs. Nationals | Jun 19 | $2 | +$3 | +178% |
| Rockies vs. Braves | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +33% |
| Magic vs. Raptors | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Magic | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Red Wings | Jun 11 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bruins vs. Devils | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Blues vs. Kings | Jun 11 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Suns | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Magic | Jun 11 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Flyers vs. Islanders | Jun 11 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Braves vs. Brewers | Jun 11 | $1 | +$1 | +67% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025? | Mar 03 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Feb 27 | $6 | +$5 | +79% |
| Knicks vs. Raptors | Feb 05 | $3 | +$1 | +52% |
| Will Kevin Durant lead the NBA in scoring? | Jan 27 | $1 | $0 | -25% |
| Will the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference? | Jan 25 | $1 | $0 | -27% |
| Sharks vs. Red Wings | Jan 15 | $3 | +$6 | +194% |
| Rockets vs. Grizzlies | Jan 10 | $1 | +$1 | +104% |
| Bulls vs. Pacers | Jan 09 | $5 | +$2 | +47% |
| Mavericks vs. Grizzlies | Jan 07 | $5 | +$3 | +52% |
| Israel parliament dissolves in 2024? | Jan 04 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024? | Jan 04 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 in December? | Jan 04 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Enron launch a token in 2024? | Jan 04 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Astaria airdrop in 2024? | Jan 04 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Trudeau out in 2024? | Jan 04 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Senators vs. Jets | Dec 29 | $3 | +$2 | +61% |