Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:04:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
58 0x5806…07ef crypto 110 markets active 2d ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (119 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$165 (+6%) realized +$165 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate52%57W / 53L
Drawdown73%max
Avg bet$24per market
Trades / day118.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (119 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-22.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 -8.0% -16.8% 60% 35% -6.0%
≤30d 110 -14.2% -22.4% 52% 32% -7.5%
≤90d 110 -14.2% -22.4% 52% 32% -7.5%
all 110 -14.2% -22.4% 52% 32% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover118.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.4% 32% -7.5%
10% ← realistic here -29.8% 16% -16.3%
15% -36.6% 9% -24.4%
20% -42.8% 5% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
35% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -20% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$6 · ×1.08 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.16 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$165
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses57 / 53
Open positions0
Markets (closed)110 / 110
History coverage6d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day118.9
Drawdown73%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 110 Trades
no open positions (29 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $21 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $28 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $27 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $26 −$11 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$12 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $35 −$33 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $14 +$30 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$13 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$4 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$6 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $12 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $16 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $27 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $23 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $12 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $11 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $13 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 740 history records