trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador? | Yes | 19¢ | 18¢ | $20 | $20 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 17¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $2 | $1 | −$0 (-12%) |
| Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $21 | $0 | −$21 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $19 | $0 | −$19 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | Over | 60¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $11 | $0 | −$11 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | 55¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? | Jun 14 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$19 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $21 | +$122 | +596% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? | Jun 12 | $11 | −$11 | -97% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $32 | −$3 | -9% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $21 | −$21 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 07 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 03 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador? | BUY Yes | 19¢ | $21 | 1h |
| Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? | BUY Yes | 15¢ | $21 | 14h |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY Yes | 24¢ | $20 | 24h |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? | BUY Yes | 15¢ | $25 | 26h |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? | BUY Yes | 18¢ | $25 | 26h |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | BUY Yes | 14¢ | $21 | 2d |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | BUY Yes | 16¢ | $31 | 2d |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? | BUY Yes | 11¢ | $11 | 2d |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | SELL Yes | 20¢ | $29 | 3d |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 21¢ | $32 | 3d |
| Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? | BUY Yes | 19¢ | $21 | 3d |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY Yes | 9¢ | $2 | 7d |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY Yes | 16¢ | $2 | 7d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 55¢ | $3 | 7d |
| Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | BUY Over | 60¢ | $3 | 11d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 11% | 11% | -23.6% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -28.5% | -35.3% | 9% | 9% | -25.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -28.5% | -35.3% | 9% | 9% | -25.7% |
| all | 11 | -28.5% | -35.3% | 9% | 9% | -25.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -35.3% | 9% | -25.7% |
| 10% | -41.5% | 9% | -32.8% |
| 15% | -47.1% | 9% | -39.3% |
| 20% | -52.3% | 9% | -45.3% |