Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:26:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
57 0x57f0…c9ba crypto 545 markets active 7h ago coverage 73d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,051 (-7%) realized −$1,051 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR70%break-even
Win rate84%456W / 89L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$30per market
Trades / day7.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$33
7 days+$53
14 days+$158
30 days+$235
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,189
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +70%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 +2.9% -6.9% 89% 83% -5.6%
≤30d 224 +6.5% -3.6% 90% 83% -4.0%
≤90d 545 -1.0% -10.4% 84% 70% -16.2%
all 545 -1.0% -10.4% 84% 70% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.4% 70% -16.2%
10% -19.0% 18% -24.2%
15% -26.8% 3% -31.6%
20% -34.0% 2% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late +3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$35 · ×0.12 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

73d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,051
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses456 / 89
Open positions0
Markets (closed)545 / 545
History coverage73d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day7.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 545 Trades
no open positions (71 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$5 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$3 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$3 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $35 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$7 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$4 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$6 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$4 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$4 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$4 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$5 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$6 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$10 +27%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$6 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$4 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$6 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$7 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$4 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$4 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$5 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$5 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $35 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $19 +$2 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $28 +$4 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $25 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $8 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $20 25h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $25 25h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $25 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $35 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $35 36h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $25 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $20 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $20 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $20 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $35 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $30 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $34 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $25 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $30 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $25 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $30 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $36 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $35 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $35 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1040 history records