Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:49:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x57ef…9f11
crypto · 1340 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$644 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$644 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$644
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses975 / 365
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1340 / 1340
History coverage22d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day114.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1340 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$64
7 days−$27
14 days−$129
30 days−$644
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$13 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$11 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$644
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 438 -0.8% -10.3% 60% 60% -10.6%
≤30d 1340 -3.1% -12.3% 73% 34% -13.6%
≤90d 1340 -3.1% -12.3% 73% 34% -13.6%
all 1340 -3.1% -12.3% 73% 34% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover114.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 34% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 26% -21.8%
15% -28.4% 23% -29.4%
20% -35.4% 17% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records