Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:21:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x57ee…8112
weather · 480 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$724 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$456 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$154
Realized+$456
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses75 / 524
Whale WR (big bets)14%
Est. fees paid−$90
Open positions21
Markets (closed)599 / 480
Avg bet$49
Trades / day124.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 21 History 599 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$381
7 days−$655
14 days+$1,199
30 days+$456
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $44 $43 −$1 (-2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) Aiemann Zahabi 22¢ 22¢ $28 $27 −$1 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Yes 13¢ 14¢ $19 $21 +$2 (+10%)
Will Wes Unseld Jr. be the next head coach of the Chicago Bulls? No 20¢ 49¢ $7 $18 +$10 (+145%)
Will Ben Johns be traded before the Major League Pickleball trade deadline? No 6¢ 55¢ $2 $17 +$15 (+818%)
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Song Yadong next? Yes 8¢ 5¢ $15 $10 −$5 (-31%)
Will Juan Soto lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season? No 7¢ 99¢ $1 $9 +$8 (+1316%)
Will Geraldo Perdomo lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season? No 8¢ 99¢ $0 $6 +$5 (+1139%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12? No 2¢ 0¢ $7 $2 −$5 (-71%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-95%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? No 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-88%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-93%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-83%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-95%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? No 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-98%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 12? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-98%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-95%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 12? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-98%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-99%)
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Deiveson Figueiredo next? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-64%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 21? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7? No 2¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 10? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 10? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? Jun 12 $0 +$45 +121153%
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 14? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Ma Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 10? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 6? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 5? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 12? Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 8? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
StarCraft II: SHIN vs Maru - Map 4 Winner Jun 12 $0 +$10 +4024%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 8? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -104%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on Ma Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 3? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 16? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 6? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 1? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 14? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? Jun 12 $0 +$29 +108432%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on Ma Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 15? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 5? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C or below on May 9? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 5? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on Ma Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on May 6? Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 3? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 2? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 4? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 10? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Game Handicap: Team Falcons PH (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming PH (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 +$38 +2313%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on May 5? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 9? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 7? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 30? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on April 30? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 11? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 6? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 8? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 6? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on May 9? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on May 1? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Myth Esports vs mCon esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $0 +$11 +67777%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 6? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 8? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 8? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Ma Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12? Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 51% +$2,633
weather 39% −$503
other 10% −$1,491
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 8¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 2h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 2h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 2h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 3h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 3h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12? BUY No 3¢ $6 3h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 287 +2.3% -7.5% 10% 9% -31.2%
≤30d 599 +2.9% -6.9% 13% 12% -9.6%
≤90d 599 +2.9% -6.9% 13% 12% -9.6%
all 599 +2.9% -6.9% 13% 12% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover124.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.9% 12% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -15.8% 11% -18.2%
15% -24.0% 11% -26.1%
20% -31.4% 10% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $154.23 · official $154.23 (match) · 3500 history records