Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:15:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x57cc…da03
other · 8 markets active 8h ago
0.0score
−$39 -33%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses2 / 6
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)8 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day16.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit38%
Chart Positions 0 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$43
7 days−$43
14 days−$43
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $15 −$11 -71%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$8 -77%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $41 −$8 -21%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $20 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 76% −$43
sports 24% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 13¢ $4 8h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 25¢ $3 9h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 32¢ $2 9h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 10h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $3 17h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 30h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 71¢ $7 31h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 31h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Over 99¢ $8 31h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 31h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $10 32h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 62¢ $5 33h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 5¢ $2 35h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 21¢ $4 35h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 70¢ $20 35h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $10 38h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $19 38h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $20 38h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $20 38h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $10 39h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $20 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-40.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -34.0% -40.3% 25% 25% -42.8%
≤30d 8 -34.0% -40.3% 25% 25% -42.8%
≤90d 8 -34.0% -40.3% 25% 25% -42.8%
all 8 -34.0% -40.3% 25% 25% -42.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -40.3% 25% -42.8%
10% -46.0% 25% -48.3%
15% -51.2% 25% -53.3%
20% -56.0% 12% -57.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 23 history records