trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -83.3% | -84.9% | 17% | 0% | -52.2% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -83.3% | -84.9% | 17% | 0% | -52.2% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -11.1% | -19.5% | 33% | 11% | -9.6% |
| all | 26 | -12.4% | -20.7% | 50% | 15% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.7% | 15% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -28.3% | 12% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -35.2% | 8% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -41.6% | 8% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $160 in June? | No | 0¢ | 100¢ | $0 | $999 | +$999 (+0%) |
| Will Solana reach $150 in June? | No | 0¢ | 100¢ | $0 | $999 | +$999 (+0%) |
| Will Solana dip to $10 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1,000 | $999 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will Solana dip to $20 in June? | No | 0¢ | 100¢ | $0 | $999 | +$999 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5PM ET | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5PM ET | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 6, 5PM ET | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Solana reach $240 in October? | Jun 22 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Solana reach $250 in October? | Jun 22 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May? | Jun 22 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May? | May 06 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April? | May 04 | $2,540 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings? | May 04 | $2 | +$8 | +400% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Mar 13 | $50 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will someone else be inaugurated? | Jan 09 | $300 | +$3 | +1% |
| Will Maccabi TLV win the UEFA Europa League? | Jan 09 | $500 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rangers win the UEFA Europa League? | Jan 09 | $500 | −$1 | -0% |
| Ripple above $2.40 on December 20? | Jan 09 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,100.00 in December? | Jan 09 | $8 | +$2 | +21% |
| $MSTR added to Nasdaq 100? | Jan 09 | $80 | +$23 | +28% |
| Will Biden finish his term? | Dec 13 | $1 | −$1 | -69% |
| $PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B? | Dec 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will ETH or SOL reach all-time high first? | Dec 13 | $2 | +$2 | +85% |
| Category 5 hurricane hits US before election? | Dec 13 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Mira Murati join Anthropic? | Dec 13 | $7 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting? | Oct 13 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Ethereum above $2,500 on September 27? | Oct 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will a Republican win Montana Presidential Election? | Sep 20 | $90 | $0 | +0% |
| 'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day? | Sep 20 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Spain win? | Jul 07 | $10 | $0 | +1% |