Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T01:38:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
57 0x57ab…a228 crypto 327 markets active 1h ago coverage 16d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Total PnL −$5 (-0%) realized −$102 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate55%180W / 147L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day33.9pace
Kalshi-fit65%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$279
7 days−$276
14 days−$144
30 days−$102
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 60% +$8
other 37% −$106
weather 3% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 278 -21.7% -29.1% 50% 50% -21.8%
≤30d 327 -8.8% -17.5% 55% 54% -13.4%
≤90d 327 -8.8% -17.5% 55% 54% -13.4%
all 327 -8.8% -17.5% 55% 54% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover33.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.5% 54% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -25.4% 52% -21.7%
15% -32.6% 33% -29.2%
20% -39.2% 19% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$6 · ×0.73 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$102
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses180 / 147
Open positions0
Markets (closed)327 / 327
History coverage16d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day33.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 327 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +30%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +32%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +27%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +32%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +51%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +84%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3135 history records