Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:10:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x57aa…0057
sports · 17 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$50 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$50 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$50
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses10 / 7
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)17 / 17
History coverage85d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$18
14 days+$39
30 days−$79
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 30¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 47¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 61¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Team Liquid 59¢ 0¢ $117 $0 −$117 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner FlyQuest 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $28 +$21 +76%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $29 +$21 +70%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $33 −$33 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $7 −$7 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $14 +$9 +65%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $20 +$20 +97%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $45 −$25 -55%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $35 +$12 +33%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $32 −$15 -46%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $15 +$2 +17%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $37 −$13 -34%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $75 +$5 +6%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $51 +$41 +81%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs May 25 $119 −$117 -99%
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) Mar 20 $140 +$115 +82%
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Mar 20 $32 −$9 -30%
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5) Mar 20 $280 +$23 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 99¢ $49 38m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 56¢ $17 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $50 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 55¢ $11 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 58¢ $29 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 11¢ $1 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 31¢ $2 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 43¢ $4 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 57¢ $26 2h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 61¢ $7 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 60¢ $14 4d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner SELL LYON 100¢ $40 6d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs SELL Cloud9 26¢ $20 6d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner BUY LYON 50¢ $20 6d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 56¢ $11 6d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 56¢ $34 6d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs SELL G2 Esports 93¢ $46 6d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 69¢ $35 6d
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner BUY FlyQuest 49¢ $15 7d
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner SELL Team Liquid 51¢ $15 7d
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner BUY Team Liquid 55¢ $17 7d
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 58¢ $17 7d
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 49¢ $15 7d
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 8¢ $1 7d
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 39¢ $12 7d
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL FlyQuest 60¢ $30 7d
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY FlyQuest 48¢ $24 7d
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $80 7d
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 94¢ $75 7d
Spurs vs. Thunder SELL Spurs 95¢ $92 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +10.7% +0.2% 62% 62% -1.9%
≤30d 14 -7.8% -16.6% 57% 50% -23.8%
≤90d 17 -2.9% -12.1% 59% 47% -4.8%
all 17 -2.9% -12.1% 59% 47% -4.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.1% 47% -4.8%
10% -20.5% 41% -13.9%
15% -28.2% 35% -22.2%
20% -35.2% 35% -29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 53 history records