Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:59:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x579d…c2a0
crypto · 658 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$521 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$433 · open −$87
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$93
Realized−$433
Unrealized−$87
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses329 / 327
Open positions2
Markets (closed)656 / 658
History coverage11d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day279.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 656 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$529
7 days−$200
14 days−$433
30 days−$433
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 52¢ 48¢ $100 $91 −$9 (-9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $80 $1 −$79 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$36 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$24 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$22 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$34 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $94 +$79 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $83 −$28 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$31 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$19 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $56 −$53 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$32 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$36 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $63 −$22 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$14 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$27 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$14 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$37 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$18 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $157 +$348 +221%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$78 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$521
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $52 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $52 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $11 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $11 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $8 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $12 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $11 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $24 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 423 -4.6% -13.7% 50% 47% -11.4%
≤30d 656 -7.7% -16.5% 50% 48% -12.2%
≤90d 656 -7.7% -16.5% 50% 48% -12.2%
all 656 -7.7% -16.5% 50% 48% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover279.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.5% 48% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.5% 46% -20.6%
15% -31.8% 44% -28.3%
20% -38.5% 39% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $92.52 · official $92.52 (match) · 3500 history records