Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:24:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x5799…db25
sports · 880 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$6,072 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,861 · open −$689
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$982
Realized+$6,861
Unrealized−$689
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses428 / 447
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$1,485
Open positions6
Markets (closed)875 / 880
History coverage562d
Avg bet$217
Trades / day2.7
Drawdown74%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 6 History 875 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$400
7 days−$1,338
14 days−$193
30 days−$464
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 27¢ 30¢ $497 $537 +$40 (+8%)
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31? Yes 56¢ 57¢ $299 $304 +$5 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 28¢ 16¢ $240 $140 −$100 (-42%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Team Heretics Academy 67¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Team Heretics Academy 56¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$194 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 51¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Aurora 32¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season SK Gaming 61¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner Team Nemesis 50¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs BetBoom Team - Game 3 Winner L1ga Team 32¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 1 Winner 1win 15¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Team Spirit 61¢ 0¢ $202 $0 −$202 (-100%)
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Cloud9 48¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs Fnatic 36¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 50¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 34¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 4 Winner Fluxo W7M 46¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Tundra Esports 59¢ 0¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season Blue Otter 40¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 49¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner GamerLegion 60¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winner Ilbirs eSports 50¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 54¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner Sentinels 34¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 4 Winner NRG Esports 50¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $500 −$500 -100%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $198 +$261 +132%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $204 +$536 +262%
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Ope Jun 13 $202 −$200 -99%
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $68 −$67 -99%
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $303 −$200 -66%
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South Jun 13 $101 +$65 +64%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $163 −$160 -98%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $203 −$200 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $105 −$11 -11%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $102 +$8 +8%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$49 +48%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $102 +$230 +225%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $201 +$19 +10%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $158 −$155 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $453 −$336 -74%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $169 −$141 -84%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $145 −$142 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $147 +$124 +85%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $203 −$160 -79%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $136 −$115 -85%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $202 −$198 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $102 −$100 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $101 −$100 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $51 −$50 -98%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $398 +$141 +36%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $122 +$133 +109%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $528 +$187 +36%
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) Jun 07 $190 +$125 +66%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $106 +$97 +91%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $298 −$294 -98%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $223 −$220 -99%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $102 −$100 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $497 +$246 +50%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $370 +$220 +59%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $201 +$169 +84%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $245 −$241 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $203 −$200 -98%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $153 −$150 -98%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $101 +$48 +48%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $203 −$200 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $211 +$107 +51%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $101 −$100 -99%
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $102 +$146 +143%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 67% +$618
world 26% +$10,106
other 5% −$3,352
politics 2% −$401
economics 0% −$298
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner SELL G2 NORD 99¢ $459 4m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 38¢ $297 15m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner BUY G2 NORD 42¢ $198 22m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 28¢ $245 33m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 100¢ $740 42m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 56¢ $197 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 27¢ $204 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 67¢ $303 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 51¢ $142 2h
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31? BUY Yes 67¢ $67 14h
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31? BUY Yes 59¢ $107 14h
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Ope BUY Ignite 61¢ $202 16h
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 2 Winner BUY Ignite 53¢ $68 16h
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 1 Winner BUY GG Boom 56¢ $203 16h
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 1 Winner SELL Ignite 44¢ $59 16h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South SELL Estar Backs 99¢ $166 16h
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 1 Winner BUY Ignite 74¢ $101 16h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Estar Backs 60¢ $101 18h
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31? BUY Yes 59¢ $6 21h
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31? BUY Yes 56¢ $7 21h
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31? BUY Yes 55¢ $7 21h
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31? BUY Yes 54¢ $33 21h
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31? BUY Yes 53¢ $29 21h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 19¢ $200 21h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 31¢ $163 21h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 46¢ $203 22h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 37¢ $102 22h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Eintracht Spandau 31¢ $93 22h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 53¢ $109 23h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 34¢ $102 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -24.4% -31.6% 38% 33% -25.8%
≤30d 290 -1.6% -11.0% 49% 48% -10.3%
≤90d 748 -2.1% -11.4% 47% 46% -10.7%
all 875 +1.3% -8.3% 49% 48% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.3% 48% -6.0%
10% -17.1% 45% -15.0%
15% -25.1% 41% -23.2%
20% -32.4% 37% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $981.71 · official $981.71 (match) · 1557 history records