Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:14:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x5786…0c9a
other · 53 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$12 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses15 / 38
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)53 / 53
History coverage604d
Avg bet$359
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 0 History 53 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $21 $0 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 07 $20 $0 -0%
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 06 $13 $0 -0%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 05 $13 $0 -0%
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May? Jun 05 $31 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $140 in May? Jun 05 $40 $0 +0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 28 $129 $0 -0%
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 27 $24 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 26 $119 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 22 $116 $0 -0%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins May 22 $9 +$7 +73%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 20 $20 $0 -0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 19 $106 $0 -0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 12 $101 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-10? May 12 $7 +$8 +129%
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 08 $97 $0 -0%
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 07 $91 $0 -0%
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 06 $88 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5? May 06 $33 $0 +1%
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 30 $96 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 24 $92 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 24 $185 $0 -0%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 23 $97 $0 -0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 23 $90 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 22 $89 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 22 $93 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 19 $94 $0 -0%
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 18 $93 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 18 $92 $0 -0%
Hawks vs. Cavaliers Apr 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Apr 09 $7 +$5 +72%
Sabres vs. Rangers Apr 09 $9 +$6 +72%
Hornets vs. Celtics Apr 08 $7 +$3 +46%
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies Apr 07 $11 +$1 +10%
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies Apr 06 $40 −$40 -100%
Pelicans vs. Kings Apr 06 $20 +$33 +165%
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch? Apr 03 $23 $0 +2%
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? Apr 03 $130 +$2 +2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Gr Mar 26 $28 +$5 +19%
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-15.5) Mar 23 $21 +$21 +99%
Will Solana dip to $20 in February? Mar 05 $4 $0 +0%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? Dec 30 $13,524 −$14 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 07 $12 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Sep 18 $35 −$1 -2%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Jun 17 $2 $0 -7%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 12 $31 −$1 -2%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 29 $8 $0 -3%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Mar 24 $30 $0 -1%
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Jan 10 $288 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% −$13
politics 17% −$7
other 6% −$4
economics 2% −$1
sports 2% +$34
world 1% +$2
culture 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $21 1h
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $21 2h
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $20 6d
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $20 6d
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $13 6d
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $13 7d
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $13 7d
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $13 7d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $22 16d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $22 16d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $23 17d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $24 17d
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May? BUY No 100¢ $31 17d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $18 17d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $18 17d
Will Solana reach $140 in May? BUY No 100¢ $40 20d
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $22 21d
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $22 21d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $15 22d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $15 22d
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins BUY Atlanta Braves 57¢ $9 23d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $20 23d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $20 24d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $12 24d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $12 24d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $94 25d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $94 25d
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $94 26d
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $94 26d
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $100 32d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-3.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 13 +5.5% -4.5% 23% 8% -8.7%
≤90d 41 +9.4% -1.0% 34% 20% -8.2%
all 53 +7.0% -3.2% 28% 15% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.2% 15% -9.5%
10% -12.5% 13% -18.1%
15% -20.9% 13% -26.0%
20% -28.7% 11% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 284 history records