Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:05:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x5778…5bb9
crypto · 871 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$241 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$138 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$138
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses425 / 446
Open positions0
Markets (closed)871 / 871
History coverage57d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day47.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 871 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$20 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$8 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$3 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$16 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$4 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$3 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$3 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$5 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$17 +145%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$9 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$5 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$1 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$4 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$2 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$5 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$27 +236%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$9 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$7 -63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$8 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$138
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $12 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $6 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $6 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $12 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $16 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $11 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $11 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $11 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 +2.5% -7.3% 33% 24% -8.3%
≤30d 54 +2.5% -7.3% 33% 24% -8.3%
≤90d 871 -0.2% -9.7% 49% 33% -11.0%
all 871 -0.2% -9.7% 49% 33% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 33% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 20% -19.6%
15% -26.2% 10% -27.3%
20% -33.4% 5% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2747 history records