Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T11:27:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
57 0x576f…ed2c other 7 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ bot/MM pace (139 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$0 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 7L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$235per market
Trades / day139.0pace
Kalshi-fit14%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 95% −$86
crypto 5% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -5.7% -14.7% 0% 0% -14.5%
≤30d 7 -5.7% -14.7% 0% 0% -14.5%
≤90d 7 -5.7% -14.7% 0% 0% -14.5%
all 7 -5.7% -14.7% 0% 0% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover139.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 0% -14.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 0% -22.7%
15% -30.3% 0% -30.2%
20% -37.2% 0% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
9.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$13 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$235
Trades / day139.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit14%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 7 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 24 $69 −$4 -6%
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 24 $814 −$44 -5%
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 24 $443 −$25 -6%
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 24 $38 −$2 -6%
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cu Jun 24 $125 −$7 -6%
Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 24 $69 −$4 -6%
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Jun 24 $88 −$5 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 0¢ $6 1h
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 0¢ $6 1h
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 8¢ $257 1h
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 8¢ $271 1h
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 8¢ $257 1h
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 8¢ $271 1h
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 8¢ $257 1h
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 8¢ $271 1h
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup SELL No 6¢ $6 1h
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup SELL No 7¢ $212 1h
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup BUY No 7¢ $231 1h
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup SELL No 6¢ $3 1h
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup SELL No 7¢ $3 1h
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup SELL No 7¢ $195 1h
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup BUY No 7¢ $212 1h
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 0¢ $6 1h
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 0¢ $6 1h
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 0¢ $6 1h
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 0¢ $6 1h
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 0¢ $6 1h
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 0¢ $6 1h
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 0¢ $6 1h
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 0¢ $6 1h
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 0¢ $6 1h
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 0¢ $6 1h
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 0¢ $6 1h
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 0¢ $6 1h
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 0¢ $6 1h
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 0¢ $6 1h
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 0¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 139 history records