trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -21.3% | -28.8% | 0% | 0% | -25.8% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -21.3% | -28.8% | 0% | 0% | -25.8% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -21.3% | -28.8% | 0% | 0% | -25.8% |
| all | 21 | -21.3% | -28.8% | 0% | 0% | -25.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -28.8% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -35.6% | 0% | -32.9% |
| 15% | -41.9% | 0% | -39.4% |
| 20% | -47.6% | 0% | -45.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August? | Jun 16 | $17 | −$12 | -71% |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? | Jun 16 | $9 | −$2 | -18% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 46 million views on day 3 | Jun 16 | $17 | −$4 | -23% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | Jun 16 | $20 | −$2 | -8% |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Jun 16 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Jun 16 | $11 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June | Jun 16 | $24 | −$3 | -12% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week | Jun 16 | $31 | −$2 | -6% |
| Will the announcers say "President" during the England vs Croatia FIFA | Jun 16 | $15 | −$10 | -68% |
| Will the announcers say "Red Card" during the England vs Croatia FIFA | Jun 16 | $15 | −$3 | -20% |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | Jun 16 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June | Jun 16 | $4 | −$2 | -46% |
| Will Trump say "Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer" in June? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the England vs Croatia | Jun 16 | $10 | −$2 | -22% |
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Jun 16 | $15 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Cap launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $21 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round | Jun 15 | $7 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $162.50 Week of June 15 2 | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -90% |
| Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican prima | Jun 15 | $20 | −$3 | -13% |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $33 | −$2 | -6% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | Jun 15 | $9 | −$1 | -6% |