Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:10:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x576a…b26d
sports · 283 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$332 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$332 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$332
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses118 / 164
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions1
Markets (closed)282 / 283
History coverage99d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day4.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 1 History 282 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Voca 75¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Cristian Garin Nikoloz Basilashvili 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $5 +$6 +126%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +23%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 05 $9 −$9 -99%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Cris Apr 05 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs TYLOO (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs Apr 05 $10 +$5 +51%
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Apr 05 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04? Apr 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Play Apr 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alp Apr 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? Apr 05 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-04? Apr 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04? Apr 04 $5 +$10 +194%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04? Apr 04 $20 +$4 +21%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04? Apr 04 $10 +$10 +100%
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #4 Group A Apr 04 $10 +$6 +59%
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tiran Apr 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Dota 2: ALIS VENTORUS vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Apr 04 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playo Apr 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europ Apr 03 $10 +$6 +55%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03? Apr 03 $10 +$3 +30%
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-04-03? Apr 03 $2 −$2 -91%
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger Leagu Apr 03 $10 +$2 +23%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Apr 03 $10 +$8 +78%
Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 (BO5) - PGL Astana: European Closed Quali Apr 03 $10 −$9 -90%
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs BESTIA (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #4 Group B Apr 03 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group St Apr 03 $5 +$5 +99%
Bucharest Open: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Apr 03 $3 +$9 +303%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Apr 03 $6 +$17 +291%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Apr 03 $2 +$1 +44%
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GLYPH (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Apr 03 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Apr 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Apr 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs B8 (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Pl Apr 03 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Play Apr 03 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challen Apr 03 $5 +$2 +38%
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Chall Apr 03 $5 +$7 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Apr 03 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Apr 03 $3 −$2 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Apr 03 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Apr 03 $3 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Apr 03 $1 +$2 +235%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% −$238
other 22% +$15
crypto 16% −$108
culture 1% −$3
world 1% +$16
tech 1% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch SELL Darwin Blanch 99¢ $12 49m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 43¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 71¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 2h
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 BUY Yes 10¢ $1 6h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 10h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 60¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 20h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Chicago Cubs 54¢ $5 20h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 20h
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage BUY Voca 75¢ $9 68d
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Cris BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili 69¢ $10 68d
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs TYLOO (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs SELL TYLOO 100¢ $15 68d
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs TYLOO (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs BUY TYLOO 65¢ $10 68d
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-04? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 68d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? BUY Yes 38¢ $15 68d
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04? SELL Yes 100¢ $15 68d
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04? BUY Yes 34¢ $5 68d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Play BUY BetBoom Team 58¢ $10 68d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04? SELL Yes 100¢ $14 68d
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - European Pro League BUY HEROIC Academy 71¢ $9 69d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04? BUY Yes 50¢ $10 69d
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #4 Group A SELL ASTRAL 100¢ $16 69d
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #4 Group A BUY ASTRAL 62¢ $10 69d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04? BUY Yes 64¢ $10 69d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04? BUY Yes 70¢ $10 69d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -0.4% -9.9% 64% 64% +19.2%
≤30d 11 -0.4% -9.9% 64% 64% +19.2%
≤90d 209 -8.2% -16.9% 46% 44% -19.6%
all 282 -12.1% -20.5% 42% 40% -21.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.5% 40% -21.9%
10% -28.1% 35% -29.4%
15% -35.0% 31% -36.2%
20% -41.4% 23% -42.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.09 · official $10.09 (match) · 637 history records