Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:32:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x5768…ccba
other · 7 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$102 +42%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$104 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$104
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses3 / 1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)4 / 7
History coverage126d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown11%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 2 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 65¢ 62¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $16 +$10 +64%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $12 −$12 -98%
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? Mar 18 $36 +$27 +75%
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime sho Feb 09 $170 +$78 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$102
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 3 +13.1% +2.4% 67% 67% +27.2%
all 4 +21.4% +9.8% 75% 75% +30.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +9.8% 75% +30.8%
10% -0.7% 75% +18.3%
15% -10.3% 75% +6.9%
20% -19.1% 50% -3.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.84 · official $7.81 · 12 history records