Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:17:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x5762…90ee
sports · 104 markets active 9h ago
0.0score
+$2,506 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,506 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,506
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses66 / 38
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$5,609
Open positions0
Markets (closed)104 / 104
Avg bet$4,607
Trades / day61.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 104 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$36,769
7 days+$28,933
14 days+$2,506
30 days+$2,506
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Cincinnati Reds 74¢ 0¢ $937 $0 −$937 (-100%)
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Athletics 15¢ 0¢ $392 $0 −$392 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Arizona Diamondbacks 43¢ 0¢ $5,000 $0 −$5,000 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 Under 53¢ 0¢ $6,000 $0 −$6,000 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 62¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers 4¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 38¢ 0¢ $10,152 $0 −$10,152 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 58¢ 0¢ $590 $0 −$590 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $2,500 $0 −$2,500 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Philadelphia Phillies 53¢ 0¢ $5,346 $0 −$5,346 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets New York Mets 42¢ 0¢ $3,000 $0 −$3,000 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Minnesota Twins 38¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies 21¢ 0¢ $1,644 $0 −$1,644 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 21¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Baltimore Orioles 49¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays 15¢ 0¢ $270 $0 −$270 (-100%)
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 49¢ 0¢ $4,400 $0 −$4,400 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 47¢ 0¢ $5,500 $0 −$5,500 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Texas Rangers 43¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros Pittsburgh Pirates 97¢ 0¢ $9,188 $0 −$9,188 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5 Under 96¢ 0¢ $2,200 $0 −$2,200 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5 Under 55¢ 0¢ $2,500 $0 −$2,500 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Los Angeles Dodgers 6¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 34¢ 0¢ $2,500 $0 −$2,500 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $3,050 +$3,718 +122%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $6,097 +$736 +12%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 11 $1,027 +$513 +50%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $10,324 −$10,152 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $2,048 −$1,658 -81%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5,027 +$1,064 +21%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $5,012 +$417 +8%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5,087 +$1,103 +22%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $5,086 +$3,863 +76%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $4,053 +$2,641 +65%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $1,023 +$614 +60%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $1,028 −$1,000 -97%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $7,081 −$3,728 -53%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $3,955 +$3,838 +97%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 10 $6,091 −$3,000 -49%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $1,982 +$8,320 +420%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $2,055 +$19,811 +964%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $7,723 +$4,936 +64%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $2,523 +$1,100 +44%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $4,058 +$3,635 +90%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $5,031 +$1,253 +25%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $2,037 −$2,000 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $4,055 +$3,352 +83%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $5,420 −$5,346 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 09 $5,085 −$5,000 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $2,020 +$297 +15%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 09 $708 −$700 -99%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5 Jun 09 $2,534 −$2,500 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 09 $2,029 −$2,000 -99%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $7,144 −$1,033 -14%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $9,106 +$2,655 +29%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $13,004 +$3,810 +29%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $3,939 +$212 +5%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $8,836 −$2,048 -23%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $1,816 +$623 +34%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $3,555 +$3,730 +105%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $3,548 +$2,933 +83%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $6,017 −$1,721 -29%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 Jun 08 $2,029 +$856 +42%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $2,057 −$2,000 -97%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 07 $22 −$22 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 07 $1,502 +$82 +6%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 07 $5,070 +$4,327 +85%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 07 $603 +$27 +4%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $4,467 −$4,400 -98%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 Jun 07 $6,084 −$6,000 -99%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Jun 07 $5,076 +$5,128 +101%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 07 $526 +$131 +25%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 07 $555 +$284 +51%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 Jun 07 $2,536 +$2,272 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$2,506
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $97 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $1,096 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $4 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $10 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $0 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $18 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $16 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $31 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $16 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $11 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $4 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $100 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $12 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $3 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $7 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $1 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $4 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $6 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $15 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $278 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $16 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $1,599 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $1 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 20¢ $97 8h
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever SELL Chicago Sky 13¢ $1,540 9h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 45¢ $1,016 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 13¢ $1,026 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 21¢ $2,047 9h
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever BUY Chicago Sky 9¢ $1,027 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 84¢ $3,389 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+2.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 +25.0% +13.1% 60% 50% +2.4%
≤30d 104 +13.5% +2.7% 63% 38% -9.0%
≤90d 104 +13.5% +2.7% 63% 38% -9.0%
all 104 +13.5% +2.7% 63% 38% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.7% 38% -9.0%
10% -7.1% 31% -17.7%
15% ← realistic here -16.1% 24% -25.7%
20% -24.3% 20% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 666 history records