Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:51:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x5762…5efe
crypto · 527 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$12 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$37 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses406 / 161
Open positions0
Markets (closed)567 / 527
History coverage26d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day121.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 567 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$27
14 days−$27
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $0 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $0 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $0 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $0 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $0 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $0 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $0 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $0 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 136 -17.9% -25.7% 44% 38% -27.5%
≤30d 567 -6.0% -15.0% 72% 43% -12.5%
≤90d 567 -6.0% -15.0% 72% 43% -12.5%
all 567 -6.0% -15.0% 72% 43% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover121.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.0% 43% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 12% -20.9%
15% -30.5% 5% -28.6%
20% -37.4% 3% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records