Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:00:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x575d…3c24
other · 9 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$9 +33%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses4 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)6 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day15.3
Drawdown15%
Kalshi-fit44%
Chart Positions 3 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$9
14 days+$9
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 57¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-3%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Under 26¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 Over 51¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +110%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -12%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -53%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 +$4 +82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 85% +$8
sports 15% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 BUY Under 26¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 BUY Over 51¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $6 5h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $11 6h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 8¢ $5 13h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 61¢ $1 13h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 18¢ $1 13h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $1 14h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $1 14h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 38¢ $9 14h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $5 16h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $5 16h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $4 19h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 26h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $1 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+31.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +44.9% +31.1% 67% 67% +34.8%
≤30d 6 +44.9% +31.1% 67% 67% +34.8%
≤90d 6 +44.9% +31.1% 67% 67% +34.8%
all 6 +44.9% +31.1% 67% 67% +34.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +31.1% 67% +34.8%
10% +18.6% 67% +21.9%
15% +7.1% 50% +10.1%
20% -3.4% 50% -0.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.81 · official $7.81 (match) · 18 history records