Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:25:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x5758…e2d8
crypto · 578 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$8,192 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,192 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$8,192
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses304 / 274
Whale WR (big bets)49%
Est. fees paid−$95
Open positions0
Markets (closed)578 / 578
History coverage72d
Avg bet$144
Trades / day24.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 0 History 578 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,956
7 days−$3,977
14 days−$7,377
30 days−$7,352
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $84 −$65 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$124 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $83 +$75 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $83 −$51 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $343 −$260 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $814 −$800 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $610 −$375 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $517 +$448 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $350 −$319 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $517 +$458 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $347 +$85 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $699 −$174 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $354 +$446 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $856 −$500 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $348 +$154 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $862 −$119 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $348 +$171 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $694 +$131 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $346 +$47 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $347 +$120 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $924 −$627 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $340 −$264 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $358 +$159 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $409 +$166 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $257 +$154 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $307 −$284 -92%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $3,354 −$91 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $397 −$364 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $613 +$259 +42%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $3,407 −$1,576 -46%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 10 $522 −$85 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $406 +$100 +25%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $2,044 +$1,381 +68%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $1,799 −$1,148 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 09 $102 +$37 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 09 $15 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $15 −$9 -60%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 09 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 59% −$6,915
other 31% −$774
sports 10% −$473
politics 0% +$8
world 0% −$39
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $19 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $84 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $279 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $155 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $158 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $83 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $32 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $83 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $84 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $343 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $788 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $26 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $108 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $348 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $127 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $263 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $965 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $408 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $109 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $350 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $975 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $517 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $432 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $347 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $435 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $345 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $90 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $354 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $800 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -26.8% -33.7% 35% 35% -22.6%
≤30d 241 -4.7% -13.8% 53% 41% -20.9%
≤90d 578 -10.3% -18.9% 53% 34% -18.5%
all 578 -10.3% -18.9% 53% 34% -18.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 34% -18.5%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 21% -26.3%
15% -33.7% 14% -33.4%
20% -40.2% 8% -39.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1928 history records