Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:51:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x574f…8ce9
crypto · 71 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
−$2,705 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,705 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,705
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses39 / 32
Whale WR (big bets)72%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)71 / 71
History coverage82d
Avg bet$652
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 71 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$411
7 days−$411
14 days−$411
30 days−$411
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $267 $0 −$267 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $305 $0 −$305 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $985 $0 −$985 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $82 −$80 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $39 +$45 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $306 −$300 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $205 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $113 −$110 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $162 +$39 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$53 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $306 +$115 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $101 −$98 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $71 −$69 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $96 +$76 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$53 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$21 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$118 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Mar 25 $271 −$267 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Mar 25 $144 +$127 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Mar 25 $80 +$64 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Mar 25 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Mar 24 $50 −$49 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Mar 24 $150 −$148 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Mar 24 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Mar 24 $600 −$600 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Mar 24 $1,291 −$1,291 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Mar 24 $894 −$894 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Mar 24 $58 −$57 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 24? Mar 24 $2,922 −$1,919 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Mar 24 $100 +$112 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Mar 24 $685 +$209 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Mar 24 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Mar 24 $1,460 +$430 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Mar 24 $569 +$346 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Mar 24 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Mar 24 $308 −$305 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Mar 24 $1,000 −$985 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Mar 24 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Mar 24 $1,000 +$480 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Mar 24 $98 +$109 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Mar 24 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Mar 24 $1,430 +$703 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Mar 24 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Mar 24 $1,056 +$374 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Mar 24 $500 −$500 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Mar 24 $1,007 +$72 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Mar 24 $1,079 +$127 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Mar 23 $1,008 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Mar 23 $3,584 +$124 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2,705
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $82 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $83 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $39 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $35 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $26 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $306 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $205 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $113 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $201 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $162 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $155 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $422 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $306 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $101 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $71 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $96 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $9 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $31 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $19 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $155 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $11 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $21 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $271 79d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $271 79d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $144 79d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $144 79d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $80 79d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -12.8% -21.1% 50% 50% -29.2%
≤30d 18 -12.8% -21.1% 50% 50% -29.2%
≤90d 71 +1.1% -8.6% 55% 51% -14.8%
all 71 +1.1% -8.6% 55% 51% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.6% 51% -14.8%
10% -17.3% 45% -23.0%
15% -25.3% 39% -30.4%
20% -32.6% 31% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 147 history records