Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T11:19:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
57 0x574d…4466 crypto 1666 markets active 0h ago coverage 81d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 80d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$111 (-0%) realized −$111 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate92%1525W / 139L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day24.3pace
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$71
7 days+$183
14 days+$173
30 days+$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$22
other 2% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 454 +0.3% -9.2% 98% 0% -8.8%
≤30d 1433 -0.2% -9.7% 97% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 1664 -1.3% -10.7% 92% 6% -9.6%
all 1664 -1.3% -10.7% 92% 6% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover24.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 6% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 3% -18.2%
15% -27.1% 3% -26.1%
20% -34.2% 3% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
93% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$6 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

81d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$111
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses1525 / 139
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1664 / 1666
History coverage81d ⚠
Avg bet$18
Trades / day24.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1664 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $200 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $99 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $200 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $200 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $200 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $200 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $200 +$4 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $200 +$4 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $200 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $200 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $200 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $200 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $193 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $200 9h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records