trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 20 | -27.7% | -34.6% | 20% | 15% | -7.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.6% | 15% | -7.6% |
| 10% | -40.8% | 15% | -16.4% |
| 15% | -46.6% | 15% | -24.5% |
| 20% | -51.8% | 15% | -31.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $562 | $562 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $399 | $399 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 26 | $965 | −$1 | -0% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Magic | Nov 10 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Angels vs. Brewers | Sep 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Liberty vs. Mercury | Sep 16 | $5 | +$4 | +79% |
| Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Solana reach $220 in June? | Jul 15 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Adrian Zandberg be the next President of Poland? | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | May 19 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May? | May 19 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 15 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | May 15 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 27 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Grizzlies vs. Rockets | Mar 19 | $126 | +$99 | +79% |
| Canucks vs. Hurricanes | Jan 13 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will there be 170,000,000-175,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. President | Jan 10 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Grizzlies | Jan 10 | $108 | +$99 | +92% |
| Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday? | Oct 07 | $43 | −$43 | -100% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 02 | $16 | +$26 | +163% |