Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:12:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x5749…8b35
crypto · 105 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$92 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$92 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$92
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses102 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)105 / 105
History coverage2d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day61.8
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 105 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$92
7 days+$92
14 days+$92
30 days+$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$92
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $20 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $20 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $17 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $20 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $20 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-4.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 +6.1% -4.0% 97% 37% -4.7%
≤30d 105 +6.1% -4.0% 97% 37% -4.7%
≤90d 105 +6.1% -4.0% 97% 37% -4.7%
all 105 +6.1% -4.0% 97% 37% -4.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.0% 37% -4.7%
10% ← realistic here -13.2% 3% -13.8%
15% -21.6% 0% -22.1%
20% -29.2% 0% -29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 223 history records