Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:16:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x5734…3508
crypto · 506 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$71 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$71 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$71
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses215 / 291
Open positions0
Markets (closed)506 / 506
History coverage8d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day128.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 506 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$62
14 days−$71
30 days−$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -21%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +173%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +77%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$2 -58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +75%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$1 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -36%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$71
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 495 -8.3% -17.0% 43% 38% -14.9%
≤30d 506 -9.9% -18.5% 42% 37% -15.6%
≤90d 506 -9.9% -18.5% 42% 37% -15.6%
all 506 -9.9% -18.5% 42% 37% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover128.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.5% 37% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -26.3% 33% -23.7%
15% -33.4% 30% -31.1%
20% -39.9% 26% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1365 history records