trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +7.7% | -2.6% | 50% | 50% | -5.0% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -28.2% | -35.0% | 33% | 33% | -28.7% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 33% | 27% | -28.9% |
| all | 15 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 33% | 27% | -28.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.5% | 27% | -28.9% |
| 10% | -17.3% | 20% | -35.7% |
| 15% | -25.3% | 20% | -41.9% |
| 20% | -32.6% | 20% | -47.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $100 | $100 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $15 | $16 | +$1 (+4%) |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) | Nikita Krylov | 35¢ | 34¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 29 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? | Jun 28 | $1 | $0 | +16% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Car | May 17 | $1 | +$1 | +140% |
| UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Mai | May 16 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | May 16 | $16 | −$6 | -38% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | May 16 | $5 | −$1 | -16% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | May 16 | $42 | −$30 | -72% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | May 16 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | May 16 | $27 | −$25 | -94% |
| UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card) | May 16 | $5 | +$9 | +172% |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | May 16 | $10 | +$42 | +414% |
| UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims) | May 10 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main C | May 09 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card) | May 09 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |