Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T19:28:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
57 0x5709…788a crypto 812 markets active 0h ago coverage 51d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 51d only
✗ bot/MM pace (59 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$154 (-1%) realized −$154 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate66%533W / 279L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$19per market
Trades / day59.1pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$58
7 days+$58
14 days+$58
30 days−$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$103
culture 0% −$17
world 0% −$3
weather 0% −$6
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (59 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +1.3% -8.4% 90% 10% -5.5%
≤30d 521 -5.8% -14.8% 69% 25% -9.8%
≤90d 812 -6.3% -15.2% 66% 27% -10.3%
all 812 -6.3% -15.2% 66% 27% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover59.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.2% 27% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 13% -18.9%
15% -30.7% 8% -26.7%
20% -37.5% 6% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
58% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$5 · ×0.47 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

51d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$154
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses533 / 279
Open positions0
Markets (closed)812 / 812
History coverage51d ⚠
Avg bet$19
Trades / day59.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 812 Trades
no open positions (64 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 23 $121 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 23 $105 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 23 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 23 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 23 $101 +$13 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 23 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 23 $100 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 23 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 23 $105 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 23 $111 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 23 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 23 $55 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 23 $61 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 23 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 23 $30 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$4 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 01 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 01 $19 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 01 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 01 $16 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 01 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 01 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 01 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 01 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 01 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 01 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 01 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 01 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 01 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 01 $11 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 01 $52 −$21 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 01 $41 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 01 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 01 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 01 $14 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 01 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 01 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 01 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 01 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 01 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 01 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 01 $50 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 01 $45 −$5 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $121 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $101 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $112 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $61 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $50 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records