Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:59:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

57
0x5706…feae
crypto · 151 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$700 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$700 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$700
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses43 / 108
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)151 / 151
History coverage105d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day6.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 151 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$79
7 days−$226
14 days−$200
30 days−$553
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$5 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$5 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$9 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$8 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$5 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$5 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$11 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$4 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$23 +437%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 13 $79 −$47 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 08 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 08 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 08 $15 +$30 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 08 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 08 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 08 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 08 $15 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 08 $13 +$10 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 08 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 08 $40 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 08 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 08 $28 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 08 $28 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 08 $17 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 08 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 08 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 08 $6 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 08 $15 +$21 +140%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 06 $9 −$9 -96%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 05 $39 −$37 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 05 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 05 $21 +$34 +161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$9 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 74% −$650
world 21% −$40
other 5% −$9
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -30.2% -36.8% 29% 24% -45.0%
≤30d 96 +0.1% -9.4% 30% 27% -27.0%
≤90d 133 -2.5% -11.8% 30% 28% -25.6%
all 151 -10.2% -18.8% 28% 26% -29.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.8% 26% -29.0%
10% -26.5% 25% -35.8%
15% -33.6% 24% -42.0%
20% -40.1% 23% -47.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 749 history records