trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 10% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 22 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 9% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $289 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 22 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? | May 11 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? | May 08 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 05 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 18 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 15 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 27 | $194 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 16 | $194 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 16 | $194 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | Mar 15 | $194 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 10 | $194 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 06 | $194 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru | Feb 03 | $194 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 06 | $186 | $0 | -0% |
| Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 03 | $188 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 03 | $187 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 02 | $187 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Dec 31 | $187 | $0 | -0% |