Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:46:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

56
0x56f7…c709
crypto · 27 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$18 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$63
Realized−$12
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses11 / 15
Open positions1
Markets (closed)26 / 27
History coverage1d
Avg bet$77
Trades / day76.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 1 History 26 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $68 $63 −$5 (-7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $113 +$59 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$12 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$14 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$29 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $97 +$131 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $131 −$11 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $115 −$50 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $63 +$50 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $105 −$30 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $295 +$25 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $129 −$58 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $258 +$118 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $164 +$17 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $77 +$22 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% +$64
other 7% −$81
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $31 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $113 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $33 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $21 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $21 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $7 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $20 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $43 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $21 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $21 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $31 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $11 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $106 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-23.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -15.6% -23.7% 42% 31% -10.1%
≤30d 26 -15.6% -23.7% 42% 31% -10.1%
≤90d 26 -15.6% -23.7% 42% 31% -10.1%
all 26 -15.6% -23.7% 42% 31% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.7% 31% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -31.0% 31% -18.7%
15% -37.7% 27% -26.5%
20% -43.8% 23% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $63.36 · official $63.36 (match) · 96 history records