Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:51:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

56
0x56f6…53ed
crypto · 1495 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$76 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$76 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$76
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses1286 / 229
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1515 / 1495
History coverage101d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day20.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1515 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$73
7 days−$71
14 days−$74
30 days−$67
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? No 93¢ 92¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? No 91¢ 97¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -663%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -878%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -606%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$4 -1072%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -464%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -857%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -838%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -667%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -771%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -683%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -683%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -830%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$4 -1251%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -781%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -761%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -489%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$5 -1422%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -742%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -656%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2
other 0% $0
sports 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? BUY No 93¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 26h
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Solary 95¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 4d
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? BUY No 91¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -51.5% -56.1% 44% 21% -51.9%
≤30d 127 -14.5% -22.6% 75% 43% -18.1%
≤90d 502 -4.2% -13.3% 80% 45% -12.1%
all 1515 -1.5% -10.8% 85% 21% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 21% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 1% -18.4%
15% -27.2% 0% -26.3%
20% -34.3% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.62 · official $4.62 (match) · 3500 history records