Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:43:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

56
0x56f1…4407
crypto · 940 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
+$217 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$217 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$217
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses696 / 244
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)940 / 940
History coverage72d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day42.2
Drawdown99%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 940 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,426
7 days+$377
14 days+$181
30 days+$140
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$21 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$25 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$24 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$24 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$25 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$25 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$25 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$25 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$25 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$24 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$24 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$25 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$24 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$25 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$26 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$25 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$23 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$24 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$24 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$25 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$24 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$24 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$24 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$225
sports 0% −$3
other 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $25 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $26 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $12 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 289 +5.9% -4.2% 54% 54% -4.8%
≤30d 374 +1.4% -8.3% 51% 51% -8.1%
≤90d 940 +1.8% -7.9% 74% 27% -8.4%
all 940 +1.8% -7.9% 74% 27% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.9% 27% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.7% 21% -17.1%
15% -24.8% 20% -25.2%
20% -32.2% 20% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records